Box Office

Box Office Prognosis: Carrie Disappoints, Escape Plan Bombs, And The Fifth Estate Super Bombs As Gravity Wins The Weekend Yet Again

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Proving everyone absolutely correct, every wide release this weekend managed to come out of the gate stumbling, all to various degrees of failure.  But hey, Gravity and Captain Phillips are both still doing great, which is a win in my book!  Celebrate the success of some and the huge failures of others today on the Box Office Prognosis!

Leading the pack this week is…really, Gravity?  Don’t get me wrong, I’m thrilled for this film’s success and overjoyed that a legitimately great and creative film can turn out to be one of the biggest blockbusters of the year.  But boy is it getting annoying to continuously write about.  Gravity’s the bees knees and everyone knows it, as the film has scored a super impressive $170.6 million domestically on its first three weeks in theaters alone, with this weekend adding another $31 million to the overall gross.  The sky’s the limit for Gravity at this point (ha!), but I’m expecting it closing out somewhere between $250-300 million.  Which is over three times its budget, and doesn’t in factor in impressive worldwide grosses.  Finally, something to celebrate box office wise this year.

And that carries over to number two, where Tom Hanks’ newest film, Captain Philips, managed to nab the second place spot from newcomer Carrie by just 300,000.  Taking in $17.3 million for the weekend, Captain Phillips has now grossed a solid $53.3 million in its first two weeks of release.  That’s a great total for the Oscar likely pic, especially going up against juggernaut Gravity.  I would expect this one to easily hit $100 million before all is said and done.

Captain-Philips

In third for the week is newbie Carrie, which slightly disappointed with a $17 million take.  Though it’s by no means a bomb for the $30 million budgeted pick, most were expecting the horror film to at least break $20 million in its first weekend, considering the lack of real big horror competition and Halloween fastly approaching.  But $17 million it was, and the film should be able to squeak out a $45 million or so domestic take unless its hold stays INCREDIBLY strong (which is doubtful, considering past horror films.)  That’s okay, but I’m sure Sony was hoping for a little more—even April’s Evil Dead opened to $8 million more.  In fourth was a fellow Sony film though, as Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2 continued to add to its impressive cume with another take of $10.1 million.  That gives the film a total gross of $93.1 million so far which, although a little below the original, is far from a bomb.

But in fifth place is an actual bomb in Stallone and Schwarzenegger’s newest film, Escape Plan.  Further proving they aren’t the box office commodities they once were, Escape Plan bombed with a low $9.8 million opening.  Granted that’s a tad bit more than their solo bombs from earlier in the year (The Last Stand and Bullet To The Head), but that’s really not saying much.  The film will be lucky to take more than $30 million though, with foreign numbers, things might not be so shitty.  There’s no salvation for Escape Plan’s fellow bomb though—The Fifth Estate.  The Wikileaks drama bombed, and bombed hard, with an absolutely pathetic take of just $1.7 million.  That wasn’t even enough to make it into the Top 5, and chances are the film won’t even hit $10 million domestically.  The Fifth Estate’s take puts it on par with other wide release bombs this year like Machete Kills and Paranoia, but even those look decent compared to this mess.  Considering the marketing arm of Disney behind it, it’s absolutely saddening that the film couldn’t even crack $5 million—though it might point to the film’s overall quality more than anything else.

Assange_and_Crew

Here’s the chart for the weekend:

1.  Gravity $31,030,000
2 Captain Phillips $17,300,000
3 Carrie $17,000,000
4 Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 $10,100,000
5 Escape Plan $9,800,000
6 Prisoners $2,065,000
7 Enough Said $1,800,000
8 The Fifth Estate $1,714,000
9 Runner Runner $1,625,000
10 Insidious Chapter 2 $1,533,000

 

My predictions during this week’s In Theaters was mostly off but, unlike the last few weekends, it was because I overestimated rather than underestimated the grosses of all these films.  Because of course that would happen.  That’s why I don’t take any chances and look at the positives of life!  Can’t believe I forgot that.

Anyways, that does it for today’s Prognosis!  Check back next Monday, where Gravity will probably be beat by a foul mouth Grandpa courtesy of the Jackass crew.  Certainly not a happy thought, but hey—at least it will allow me to finally change the header image.  See you then!

(Numbers courtesy of BoxOfficeMojo; chart courtesy of Collider)

-Matthew